Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.656673 1.892779 2.152055 2.458141 2.809942 3.202011 3.672639
2025-08-31 1.287010 1.588176 1.946157 2.403976 2.975333 3.666713 4.569629
2025-09-07 1.100501 1.449841 1.894067 2.502548 3.317858 4.377505 5.867279
2025-09-14 0.942754 1.314245 1.815066 2.543357 3.581875 5.019274 7.176650
2025-09-21 0.804369 1.178174 1.708610 2.521734 3.746932 5.540344 8.394213
2025-09-28 0.677994 1.037345 1.570893 2.428001 3.784534 5.872240 9.374017
2025-10-05 0.626623 0.998806 1.575447 2.543664 4.149123 6.740597 11.311761
2025-10-12 0.584063 0.966708 1.583298 2.661852 4.529359 7.680846 13.508158
2025-10-19 0.536801 0.919675 1.559265 2.721034 4.814678 8.496409 15.609585
2025-10-26 0.493492 0.873048 1.528732 2.762448 5.070662 9.290101 17.787001
2025-11-02 0.439661 0.800851 1.444174 2.694241 5.114769 9.699926 19.293003
2025-11-09 0.383128 0.716745 1.327814 2.550825 4.995009 9.779641 20.150629
2025-11-16 0.347137 0.668016 1.273445 2.523846 5.108380 10.348567 22.146245
2025-11-23 0.313015 0.618836 1.212472 2.476065 5.173937 10.832460 24.048796
2025-11-30 0.299359 0.608419 1.226057 2.582142 5.575866 12.078664 27.856758
2025-12-07 0.280717 0.585515 1.211517 2.626711 5.851094 13.091055 31.305421
2025-12-14 0.258045 0.551407 1.169511 2.605624 5.976092 13.784059 34.110779
2025-12-21 0.231603 0.506079 1.098207 2.509293 5.913416 14.031816 35.852219
2025-12-28 0.224863 0.503351 1.119675 2.629372 6.381960 15.619212 41.328255
2026-01-04 0.218538 0.500765 1.141040 2.751930 6.874550 17.341561 47.487071
2026-01-11 0.208377 0.488075 1.137560 2.813317 7.221632 18.746450 53.033642
2026-01-18 0.197842 0.473264 1.127300 2.856260 7.527032 20.088808 58.657158
2026-01-25 0.181584 0.442727 1.075547 2.785668 7.518499 20.579823 61.852583